Research Paper: Iimi, A. (2023). Estimating the demand for informal public transport: evidence from Antananarivo, Madagascar. Public Transport, 15(1), 129-168.
WHAT THIS PAPER IS ABOUT
- Informal public transport growing rapidly in many developing countries
- Urban infrastructure development lags behind population growth
- Informal transport meets the gap between demand and supply in urban mobility
- Limited research on informal transport compared to formal modes
- Analysis of demand behavior in the “informal” minibus sector in Antananarivo, Madagascar
- Demand for informal public transport generally inelastic, people have no other choice
- Time elasticity estimated at -0.02 to -0.05, price elasticity at -0.05 to -0.06 for short-distance travelers
- Demand increases with income regardless of income level, everyone uses minibuses
- People prefer safety and flexibility in transit
- Combining improvements and fare adjustments can increase mobility and reduce traffic congestion in the city.
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